Critical Minerals Intelligence A project of Spectra Intel Group
20 Minerals
29 Countries
8 Critical risk
3 Very high

RARE EARTH ELEMENTS (REES)

VERY HIGH RISK
Overview
Rare Earth Elements (REEs) are a group of 17 chemically similar metallic elements consisting of the 15 lanthanides plus scandium and yttrium. Despite the name, most REEs are relatively abundant in the Earth's crust, but economically viable concentrations are difficult to mine and process. Their unique magnetic, phosphorescent, catalytic, and electrochemical properties make them essential to advanced industrial manufacturing and modern high-technology systems.

REEs are typically divided into:

Light Rare Earth Elements (LREEs) — such as neodymium, lanthanum, and cerium
Heavy Rare Earth Elements (HREEs) — such as dysprosium, terbium, and yttrium, which are generally scarcer and strategically more valuable

The most strategically important REEs are used in:

high-performance permanent magnets
advanced radar systems
electric motors
missile guidance systems
precision optics
aerospace alloys
semiconductors
renewable energy infrastructure

Modern industrial economies depend heavily on REEs for both civilian and military technologies, yet the global supply chain remains highly concentrated in China, particularly in the midstream refining and magnet manufacturing stages.
Strategic importance
REEs are among the most strategically critical mineral groups in the global economy because they underpin both advanced defense capabilities and the transition to electrified industrial systems. Their highest-value applications involve permanent magnets capable of maintaining exceptional magnetic strength under extreme heat and stress conditions — a requirement for many aerospace and military systems.

Defense applications include:

active electronically scanned array (AESA) radar systems
precision-guided munitions
missile seekers and control surfaces
electronic warfare platforms
advanced avionics
sonar and naval propulsion systems
drones and autonomous systems
satellite communications and space technologies

In the defense sector, REEs are deeply embedded across:

ISR systems
air superiority platforms
missile defense
naval warfare systems
secure communications infrastructure
electronic warfare capabilities

Many next-generation military systems rely on neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets and dysprosium-enhanced high-temperature magnets that currently have few commercially viable substitutes without severe performance degradation.

Beyond defense, REEs are foundational to:

electric vehicle motors
wind turbine generators
robotics
data centers
advanced medical imaging
industrial automation
consumer electronics

The strategic vulnerability lies not primarily in mining, but in China's overwhelming dominance of:

REE separation and refining
oxide production
magnet manufacturing
downstream processing infrastructure

This concentration gives China significant geopolitical leverage over global industrial and defense supply chains. Export restrictions, quotas, or disruptions affecting REEs could create cascading impacts across aerospace, defense manufacturing, energy infrastructure, and advanced technology sectors.
Risk score
90/100
Supply chain threat level: Very High
Last updated May 18, 2026
Primary use cases
Missiles
Radar
Drones
EV Motors
Wind Turbines
Risk score breakdown
Supply Concentration Production is somewhat diversified globally, but China still dominates mining output and controls significant upstream influence through foreign investments and processing dependencies. 18 / 20
Processing Concentration China overwhelmingly dominates REE separation, refining, and magnet manufacturing. This is the primary strategic chokepoint. 20 / 20
Geopolitical Exposure Major exposure to China export controls, Myanmar instability, maritime disruption risk, and gray-zone economic leverage. 17 / 20
Defense Criticality Essential for radar, precision guidance, avionics, EW systems, magnets, aerospace systems, and advanced manufacturing. 19 / 20
Substitution Difficulty Some limited substitutions exist for certain applications, but many high-performance defense and industrial applications have no viable replacements at scale. 16 / 20
Total score 90 / 100
Global supply chain map
Key stats
Known reserves~130M metric tons REO reserves
# of producing countries6
Global production (2023)
China share of refining
Export controls

Producing countries

Defense & flow

Defense capability exposure
Capability areaExposure levelScore
Missile Systems CRITICAL 5
Radar & ISR Systems CRITICAL 5
Drone & Autonomous Systems HIGH 4
Electronic Warfare Systems HIGH 4
Aerospace Propulsion & Actuation HIGH 4
Space & Satellite Systems HIGH 4
EV & Industrial Motors CRITICAL 5
Wind Turbine Infrastructure CRITICAL 5
Strategic impact
Rare Earth Elements are foundational to the magnetic, electronic, and propulsion systems that underpin both advanced defense platforms and modern industrial infrastructure. A significant disruption to REE supply chains — particularly in separation, refining, or magnet manufacturing — would create cascading impacts across missile production, radar manufacturing, aerospace systems, drones, and strategic energy infrastructure.

The most acute vulnerability exists in high-performance permanent magnets used in:

precision-guided munitions
AESA radar systems
drone propulsion systems
advanced fighter aircraft
naval propulsion and sonar systems
satellite communications
electric vehicle drivetrains
industrial-scale wind turbines

China's dominance in REE refining and magnet manufacturing creates a strategic chokepoint capable of affecting both military readiness and industrial production capacity across allied economies. Export restrictions, sanctions escalation, maritime disruption, or geopolitical conflict involving REE processing infrastructure could significantly degrade Western defense manufacturing timelines and advanced technology production.

Many critical REE applications currently lack scalable substitute materials without major losses in efficiency, durability, or operational performance.
Supply chain control

China

Dominates REE separation, refining, and magnet manufacturing.

Risk indicators
  • China controls ~90% of global REE separation and refining capacity
  • Mine diversification alone is insufficient without processing investment
  • 2023 Chinese export controls exposed the downstream dependency acutely
Risk & challenge analysis
China controls ~90% of global REE separation and refining capacity. Even minerals mined in Australia or the U.S. are typically shipped to China for processing — making mine diversification insufficient without processing investment. Export controls in 2023 exposed this vulnerability acutely.
Strategic insight
The 2023 Chinese export restrictions on gallium and germanium were a warning shot. REEs represent a far larger and more consequential lever.

Value chain — key companies

UPSTREAM

Extraction & mining
  • MP Materials
  • Lynas
  • Iluka Resources
  • Shenghe Resources

MIDSTREAM

Refining & processing
  • China Northern Rare Earth
  • China Rare Earth Group
  • JL MAG
  • Neo Performance Materials

DOWNSTREAM

Manufacturing & end use
  • Lockheed Martin
  • Tesla
  • Siemens
  • GE Aerospace
  • CATL
Key chokepoint
REE separation + magnet manufacturing
Recent Intelligence
The company is focused on heavy rare earth elements used in permanent magnets and defense applications.
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Intelligence metadata
Confidence level
Primary threat actor
China
Watchlist status
Data sources
Last analyst review
Analyst notes